Posts by brahmin

Quote from Bartek

Is there a chance for the Central African Republic to play in the World Cup?

nope

Massive upset by Algeria has put Egypt in distress and they are now right above Portugal, and at present, 32 spots have all top 3 African teams outside the top 32, and so the cut line is now 30th (32-3+1(RUS))

Egypt is now the team on the cut line. Portugal got pushed out with Egypt’s loss. And what is worse is for Portugal is that Egypt will still face weaker competition in its final two matches, the 5th place semifinals and final position match. If Egypt wins both matches, Portugal will still be below them in the rankings. An Egypt loss, will put Portugal back above the cut line.

Tunisia with a single win will clinch their spot in the Top 3 for Africa, and push them ahead of Portugal.

Portugal needs some combination of Egypt and Tunisia each losing a match to have a chance of making the World Cup. If Tunisia loses twice, Portugal will pass them in the rankings, but still need an Egypt loss as the cut line will remain at 30th, as all of the top 3 African teams would be below the cut line.

Switzerland is basically out with today’s results.

WIth Italy and Colombia's wins as the final matches of the day, The line is 31st and Portugal.

Europe will play its remaining two quarterfinals games tomorrow, and Africa will have all of its quarterfinals.

All of the remaining teams in the Eurovolley tournament are locked in on points, just who finishes in the top 3.

For Africa, Egypt is the one that will be in even with a loss on points. All other teams, other than Tunisia have to win their way in. Tunisia with two wins, would guarantee a top 2 spot, let alone give them enough points to pass Portugal.

Points are nearly correct (using an estimated vs. FIVB number for Italy-Denmark result).

Here is the top 35

The only teams below the cut line are all in Africa, so there would have to be a massive upset or two to change the cut line. A Tunisia loss in the quarterfinals would end their bid, and Africa would be guaranteed to have 2 teams below the cut line.

Switzerland, needs Tunisia to finish in the top 2 in Africa, and above the cut line at present to get in.

Chile have clinched their spot for 3rd in South America. So at present all of the remaining European team are above the cut line. Denmark even with a loss, will still be ranked above Estonia and Portugal, and now in my opinion locked in.

Estonia I am moving to locked in at this point. Portugal cannot overtake them, and even if Tunisia moves above, they would have the Portugal buffer.

Portugal is solidly on the cut line. If there is an upset in Africa of Egypt or Tunisia, they could be out.

With Italy vs. Denmark and Algeria vs. Kenya left in today's matches, here is the Top 40 view.

With Finland vs. Greece in the 4th set, here is the look.

Egypt is now a lock in my mind with 20 points ahead of Switzerland in 32nd place after their win over Central African Republic.

Brazil won the South American Championship over Argentina this morning.

Here is the Top 40 list. I have added Sweden to the not making the tournament list.

With Cuba vs. Canada for the NORCECA Olympic Qualifying match going on at present, their result will not result make a difference in the World Cup Rankings.

Brazil and Argentina's win guarantee their spots in the World Cup for South America.

Chile's win today over Columbia, means that Chile only needs 2 set wins to clinch the 3rd and final spot from South America. A loss by Chile, would give Columbia or Venezuela a chance to qualify. The win also pushed them above Portugal who now holds the 31st and final spot on the cut line. (30 + 2 (TUN & CMR) -1 (RUS)).

Africa and Europe will continue their round of 16 matches on Sunday.

Here is the updated top 40 with the Cuba and Canada being played now.

With Canada and Cuba winning their NORCECA Olympic Qualifiers, Dominican Republic has been eliminated from making the World Cup.

As mentioned in the last post, CEV, Africa and South America all come back from a break day on Friday to play on Saturday.

One thing that I will mention right now from looking at the rankings, Tunisia if they win the African championship over Egypt, will mean that there will likely be two African team above the cut line, which would put the cut line at possibly 32nd, as there would still be one African team below that line that would finish in the Top 3 for the African championship.

If Colombia beat Chile 3-0, they will essentially swap positions in the table, with a 10-point swap, which is their points gap currently.

Chile with a win, only have Bolivia in their final match, a likely win, to finish in the top 3 for South America. Columbia would face Venezuela in the final match of the pool. Columbia, Venezuela and Chile are all tied on 1-2 and 3 points, but could still have a 3-way tie on wins and points, and then sets ratios would come into play for the third spot in South America.

Here are the Top 40 updated with today's results.

With Brazil winning their match today against Columbia, all matches are done for Thursday.

Brazil and Argentina have all but clinched their tickets (which they would still make on points anyways) with 3-0 records and 9 points. Two set wins for either team will clinch their spots, as they would reach 10 points, and the teams below them cannot match. South American tournament takes a break on Friday.

The only matches to be played on Friday are the NORCECA Olympic Qualifier Semifinals. Cuba and Canada are both already clinched for the World Cup. Mexico right now is projected in on points. If Mexico can get one win, the will locked on points. Only a loss to Dominican Republic in a 3rd place game would really damage their points.

With Africa's pool play complete, the top 4 ranked teams, Egypt, Tunisia, Cameroon and Nigeria, all won their pools. Egypt is the odd team out and will have to play in the round of 16, while the others advanced to the quarterfinals. Egypt with two wins to get the semifinals, will likely be locked in on points. Tunisia with two wins, getting them to the finals would of course be one of the top 3 teams. Nigeria and Cameroon cannot make the cut line, just too many points to gain, and an upset win over a higher ranked team Egypt or Tunisia would guarantee their spot as one of the top 3 in Africa. Round of 16 will start on Sept. 19.

Europe went out with a bang on Friday. Estonia with a 3-2 upset of Finland gave them 10 points and now give them a solid chance of making the world cup, with a 13 point cushion over Chile and the cut line. Europe will start their quarterfinals on Sept. 19.

Looking at the opponents in Eurovolley with the rankings

25. Romania vs. Ukraine, a loss of 4-5 points if swept, still would be above Puerto Rico

27. Denmark vs. Italy, a loss of 1-2 points if swept, still ahead of Estonia with that loss

30. Portugal vs. France, a loss of 2-3 points if swept, still ahead of Chile with that loss

44. Latvia vs. Poland, a loss would eliminate Latvia. A Latvia win would give likely 18-20 points to them

Here are the top 40 points rankings, and the cut line is 31 (32 - 2 (TUN & CMR) + 1 (no RUS)).

Quote from Russia13

There is something very wrong with this system when Portugal can lose its World Cup spot for having advanced to the Round of 16 of the European Championship.

They won a single match in pool play. The ranking system rewards wins, preferably 3-0 wins.

Greece has moved 21 points in their last two matches with wins over Slovenia and Sweden. While Turkiye has dropped 28 points in their last two matches, which will not affect them participating in the World Cup next year, and they built their numbers in the VNL.

With USA vs. Canada in Set 3, and Brazil playing the second set against Bolivia. Here is the picture.

In Europe, all 16 teams for the Round of 16 are confirmed, but the final pool positions in a couple of pools. Israel's loss today will most likely keep them out of the World Cup.

In South America, Chile and Argentina both won their matches. Chile's win has pushed them above the cut line, which at this point is now 31st (30 -1 (for Russia) + 2 past Tunisia and Cameroon).

In NORCECA, Cuba's win over Dominican Republic gave them the final automatic berth.

Canada, Cuba, Dominican Republic and Mexico will have two more matches for the NORCECA Olympic Qualifier.

In Africa, Egypt, Tunisia, Nigeria and Cameroon all won their matches, moving them up in the rankings.

Estonia at present is in 31st with only one match remaining. A win will keep them in for the time being, but a loss will put them out, with other teams still playing.

Quote from Vang21

Why the Netherlands cannot advance?

the column on the far right, implies that based on the ranking points for Netherlands, they will qualify for the 2027 World Cup. The left one, is just to imply within their Continental Championship, are they still playing (or will stop playing shortly). A team with no more matches or cannot advance, can only gain so many ranking points. So if a team is on the cut line, can they gain points or lose points, or are they done with their points total.

Switzerland right now has no games left to play, so they dependent on teams not passing them, or teams dropping points to make it in on ranking points.

Portugal’s round of 16 spot is not yet confirmed. Hence, no value is shown, waiting for the result.

Quote from Vang21

Why the Netherlands cannot advance?

only within CEV Eurovolley tournament, they cannot make the round of 16.

It is for me to kind of show, that they are not like teams that can be below them who can make or have made the round of 16 for Eurovolley.

With wins by Canada and the USA in the NORCECA semifinals, they have clinched their spots as two of the top 3 teams from NORCECA.

The winner of Cuba vs. Dominican Republic tomorrow will get the 3rd NORCECA spot.

Brazil and Chile are playing at present as the final match of Tuesday.

Cut line at present is 30th (29+1 (minus Russia))

Africa will start their tournament tomorrow and so will South America.

With Greece's upset of Slovenia today, I think that they have clinched their spot in the World Cup.

Mexico had an upset loss to Dominican Republic tonight in the NORCECA Quarterfinals. I have taken them out for now, just because their point drop. Puerto Rico at 150 points, pretty solid. Mexico being at 142, is closer to the cut line, and not as comfortable, Mexico and Puerto Rico could swap spots in a 5th-6th place game. Also the winner of that match will qualify for the Olympic Qualification matches, which would give two more games.

Chile right now is 31st, which would be the cut line of 30 +1 (32-2+1 (minus Russia)).

Switzerland in 36th will not make the Eurovolley Round of 16, and will need a win in their final match to have a chance of qualifying on ranking points.

Here is the top 40 ranking as of tonight's complete matches

South Korea clinched the final ticket for Asia and Australia has been eliminated.

With Estonia's loss today, the cut line has moved down to 31st, as there are only two teams from Africa below the points line, so 30th (+1 minus Russia). Chile has moved above the line.

Africa's matches could start on Monday, but there is no schedule yet anywhere, so I have at least changed the start day to that.

Finland and Serbia are playing right now, and hence why their matches left number is at 2 and 3 respectively.

The only game left for Saturday is Canada vs. Puerto Rico in the NORCECA Championship.

Play in Africa's championship will start on Sunday, so the bottom of the table will potentially have some movement.

Here is the top 40 ranking as of right now.

Colombia's win should round out the field. 2 African teams, makes the cut line 30 solid.

Switzerland at present would be the last team in the Top 30 rankings.

NORCECA and CSV are running the Pan American Cup right now, and while there are still points available, with any matches against USA, Canada, Dominican Republic, and Cuba, being a 0 value. Let alone the top team of Venezuela playing in the South American Championship, there should not be much movement. Mexico is the only one not qualified in the top 30 teams, but still solidly over the cut line.

Additionally, Argentina won their match against Venezuela this morning, taking the second ticket for the World Cup from South America. Colombia with a win in <5 sets will be the 3rd and final ticket for South America.

Top 41 ranking as of right now.

Japan and Iran confirmed their spots with wins today. South Korea vs. Australia tomorrow for the guaranteed 3rd spot. Right now South Korea is I think just about locked in even with the loss. Australia would be out of the World Cup with a loss.

Updated Top 40 standings with the Asia results.