So we agree.
What's giving me some hope for Toulouse is that they have a very good coach (Josef Smolka), they have been in this kind of situation before and knows how to deal with it, and I think that Ojansivu has not shown the best of him so far. Since the team is so close from Rennes , Nantes, Nice and Tourcoing , (and obviously Beauvais but the situation is different) a small improvement of their game could result in precious points won.
of course, but in 2nd part of season Toulouse have much harder schedule as they play away against Tours, Sete, Beauvais and Poitiers but they have 3 home matches against teams with which they will fight against relegation : Nice, Rennes and Tourcoing. Many things will depend on current form, injuries etc. but on first sight Rennes have better schedule, Tourcoing is better team (despite all their minuses) and Nice looks like their chance