I counted it - Slovenia has no chance unfortunately
Finland and Belgium have 264 and Slovenia has 260 now, can have 262 if wins ECH, but it will be not enough
Are you sure? Belgium got 10th place here, so it will get 82 points. Compared to 2011 edition it'll get +6 points and will be 262 not 264.
Actually I think Belgium must be 9th but this link says ht is 10th.