I know that the games vs BRA and TUR would be hard to win but I think JPN can definitely upset their way safely to the Olympics. JPN performance is probably their best since 2022 World Championships and they were already forcing BRA (who is in a rut now) into a decider in the Semis. On the other hand, TUR is a different beast.
These next two are going to be a different beast. BRA struggling, but as you pointed out earlier BRA can be a thorn for Japan because of their MB game
What I'm liking about this Japan: ... they may start kinda weak (don't like that part) but are able to steady the ship and pull forward. They often used to deflate when they got behind. If things were tough there was little hope for them. Now, it's less worrisome