technically, the final olympic spots are decided after 2024 VNL group stage.
That's only if Asia is like Africa without any country winning the OQTs or ranking in Top 24, and if Korea ends up as the Top rank in Asia by then... no?
This timeline was posted in another thread:
Participants of Women's OQT in 2023 is decided by 17 Oct 2022 (end of WCHs) as per World Ranking
If Korea loses to Poland, Thailand and Croatia, they will definitely drop below Slovenia (#26) in rank, possibly Cameroon (#27) too - only if Cameroon were not also dropping in rank due to poor performance at WCHs too.
Winning a slot to the Olympics through Asia Championship Qualifiers is no longer an option due to the changed rules.
Once Korea drops to #27 or lower, they will definitely be out of the OQTs and out of Olympics as well.
Though there is still a chance they will remain at #26 (and qualify in Top 24 for OQTs due to France being hosts & Russia being out)
Qualifying for the OQTs will only lead to their rank dropping further - with this team and no significant change in players (there are no prominent upcoming high school players either)
Meanwhile, you have an injured Kang Sohwi flying to Japan with GS Caltex and playing a practice match with Hitachi Rivale without any issues
and an injured Lee Soyoung rowing competitively against her teammates in KGC (involving her shoulders & knees)
I've been dissing the Korean NT a lot lately, but its only because I'm sorely disappointed as a fan. I was really looking forward to the new generation, because I felt LJY could've led it along with LDY, Kang Sohwi, Lee Dahyun and Jung Jiyoon. I hoped for Heejin to be her 2019 NT self and for Hyojin to stay on the NT instead of retiring.
What the Thailand team is displaying now is the exact same growth I had hoped from Korea. In fact Korea originally had better young players than Thailand too in LJY.